CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba16a8f1d287ce53a6e8dc055dd41214488d6f5ae39c28d53861e085071c007c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,991$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.71 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 2,242$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…32a8backed 3DMAX | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX | 45c | 1,409$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.83 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,406$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,403$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.69 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed 3DMAX | 27c | 1,263$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.98 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked MOUZ | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked MOUZ | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed MOUZ | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked MOUZ | 52c | 499.96$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX | 48c | 279.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked 3DMAX | 37c | 271.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed MOUZ | 56c | 267.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed 3DMAX | 44c | 175$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked 3DMAX | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed 3DMAX | 44c | 79.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed 3DMAX | 49c | 67.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked MOUZ | 51c | 48.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed MOUZ | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked MOUZ | 57c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)3DMAX won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.