TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof MOUZ, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf559…f462backed 3DMAX46c17,253$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,252.5419055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed 3DMAX46c16,873$7,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,111.387454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ53c16,000$8,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,48036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX50c12,607$6,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,353.5181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked MOUZ50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed MOUZ54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9810749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed 3DMAX47c9,116$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,831.3122849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked 3DMAX47c9,021$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.3414145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0478…37c3backed MOUZ54c8,000$4,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2859952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ54c7,085$3,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,846.525,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed MOUZ53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9826952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked 3DMAX47c5,934$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.0221655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed MOUZ54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX45c4,898$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.0478639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed MOUZ54c3,698$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.520344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ33c2,097$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.951,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked MOUZ54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0806237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX46c1,666$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.561,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed 3DMAX45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88015838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked 3DMAX47c1,544$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1425655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 3DMAX50c1,541$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.352,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed MOUZ52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked 3DMAX46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8103125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked MOUZ54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8103839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked MOUZ53c1,480$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.475245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed MOUZ54c1,397$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 3DMAX45c1,080$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7433…c66cbacked MOUZ55c1,062$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.842166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed MOUZ50c1,027$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.736942%29 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked MOUZ53c1,000$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked MOUZ55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9935940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed MOUZ54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked MOUZ55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9919346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX45c999$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.451,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ34c933.19$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.881,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 3DMAX47c857.44$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.441,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked 3DMAX70c857.36$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3614659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ34c785$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.711,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed MOUZ50c724.48$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.4955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed MOUZ54c723.45$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.5746555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed 3DMAX46c642.25$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3517052.4%89 W · 81 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked MOUZ34c640.56$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.797644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed MOUZ53c625$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2512551.2%64 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed MOUZ34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 3DMAX66c549.72$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.12,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked MOUZ55c517.01$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3648845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked 3DMAX46c510.73$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1224746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked 3DMAX46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed 3DMAX46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27018736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked 3DMAX47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed 3DMAX39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed MOUZ54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9913245.5%60 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed 3DMAX47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5331761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed 3DMAX47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5318037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed 3DMAX47c410.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6929851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced1…280ebacked 3DMAX46c390$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.63056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX46c384.94$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.875,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c9…8bf1backed MOUZ55c370.91$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20412748%61 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed MOUZ54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed 3DMAX47c290$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.73540%14 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ52c279.12$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.512,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed 3DMAX45c273$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked 3DMAX45c256$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.827753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked MOUZ49c242.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed 3DMAX47c241.48$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.838754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed 3DMAX47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.66847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed 3DMAX46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed MOUZ55c213.27$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.344654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed MOUZ53c213$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8974054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed 3DMAX47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7715448.7%75 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked 3DMAX46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.438051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked MOUZ50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed MOUZ54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10818148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked 3DMAX47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked MOUZ50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d37…f722backed 3DMAX45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed 3DMAX47c191.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.495444.4%24 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked MOUZ55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed MOUZ55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9931749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX59c177.47$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.541,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed MOUZ54c166.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed MOUZ54c145.56$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9761054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed 3DMAX46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.69954.5%54 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked MOUZ34c137.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6317955.3%99 W · 80 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed 3DMAX46c134.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.78540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3d…e430backed 3DMAX48c124.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.492152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed MOUZ54c115$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9565946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…516bbacked MOUZ54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked 3DMAX46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.728454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked 3DMAX48c102.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0845162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked MOUZ52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5216156.5%91 W · 70 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed MOUZ37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377843.6%34 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…1e57backed MOUZ50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed MOUZ32c95.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.730939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked MOUZ55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028837.5%108 W · 180 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9674…1302backed MOUZ55c83.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.138548.2%41 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed MOUZ42c77.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.642845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.