CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd971bcce6a774c69bd4c2bd17c00e20c0b77223c70abc1ec35ede90587c5125a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8f8…e7e3backed Under | 65c | 7,292$4,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed Over | 43c | 4,223$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.98 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Over | 38c | 2,150$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 62c | 967.72$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 39c | 932.62$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.9 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 61c | 932.62$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 56c | 892.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.95 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 44c | 810.95$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.82 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Over | 38c | 689.47$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.47 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Over | 39c | 507.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.69 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 37c | 500.1$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.06 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Under | 52c | 499.81$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Over | 48c | 410$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 62c | 381.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.67 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 56c | 333.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 75c | 306.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 37c | 277.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 269.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 51c | 232.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 67c | 159.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 151.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…a67cbacked Under | 30c | 136.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 43c | 133.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 36c | 128$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 39c | 127.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Under | 34c | 122.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…3762backed Over | 38c | 101.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…61c8backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 92.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Over | 52c | 76.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 66c | 67.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…f34abacked Over | 38c | 62.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 75c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…77aabacked Under | 41c | 61.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 63c | 49.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 46.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 38c | 46.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Under | 62c | 40.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 63c | 38.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 58c | 34.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 39c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over | 38c | 26.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 65c | 22.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…6623backed Under | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…0994backed Over | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)3DMAX won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.