TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof 3DMAX, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,769,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,871,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,769,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b1d…76a0backed 3DMAX46c148,862$68,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,904.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed 3DMAX21c78,009$16,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,590.713548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed 3DMAX26c46,462$12,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,080.0233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed MOUZ57c31,010$17,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,405.5525355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed 3DMAX44c30,000$13,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,296.23641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed 3DMAX27c20,717$5,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,495.876160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 3DMAX37c18,210$6,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,744.0941040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed 3DMAX51c16,414$8,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,320.2710056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ62c13,395$8,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,122.721,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked MOUZ74c11,351$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.2625655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 3DMAX40c11,340$4,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.6838358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcb…398abacked MOUZ74c10,656$7,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked MOUZ76c9,530$7,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.2836453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ56c9,332$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.1288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked 3DMAX42c9,160$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84416946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ52c8,824$4,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.6132348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed 3DMAX29c8,621$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.93745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ54c8,239$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.561,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed 3DMAX24c8,033$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.022642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed MOUZ74c7,104$5,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.7411149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ58c7,006$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.6587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed 3DMAX46c6,339$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.9319451.5%100 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ63c5,748$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.51,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ48c5,658$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.425,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed 3DMAX17c5,545$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.596716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed MOUZ56c5,323$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3216450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed MOUZ74c5,230$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.810452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked MOUZ63c5,114$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.7575245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed MOUZ74c5,050$3,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31321854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ74c4,650$3,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.491,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked 3DMAX48c4,513$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.156036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ71c4,448$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.2144957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed MOUZ74c4,423$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.985455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed MOUZ72c4,294$3,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.38246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed 3DMAX51c3,860$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.155836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked 3DMAX38c3,781$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.443152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed 3DMAX21c3,755$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.4672139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed MOUZ74c3,723$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.987459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ65c3,634$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.42,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked 3DMAX68c3,500$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.9924943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed MOUZ74c3,490$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.995563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked MOUZ75c3,420$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.526854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ73c3,334$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.172,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked MOUZ73c3,320$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.2822241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed 3DMAX63c3,186$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ45c3,109$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.672,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked MOUZ74c3,018$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.284751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fec…e218backed MOUZ74c2,978$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.282751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed 3DMAX32c2,939$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94518837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed 3DMAX29c2,889$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.4755043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed 3DMAX51c2,878$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.468670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ73c2,863$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.1932552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ67c2,709$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.9518444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ59c2,697$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.8125261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ53c2,557$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.551,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…4d8abacked 3DMAX28c2,464$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed MOUZ51c2,284$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.1910449%51 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed MOUZ74c2,211$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.863357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked MOUZ74c2,204$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.04757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ60c2,180$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.855,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed MOUZ73c2,169$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.5761948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed MOUZ54c2,121$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.024845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked MOUZ48c2,093$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.965052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ51c2,090$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.51,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a0c…6ca7backed 3DMAX28c2,075$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5851233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ74c2,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53023243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd01…d95bbacked MOUZ74c1,924$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.313253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 3DMAX44c1,792$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.991,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX29c1,780$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.595,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ53c1,712$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.631,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX34c1,640$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.376,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a4…32a8backed 3DMAX35c1,613$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.161136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed MOUZ68c1,607$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9310150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked 3DMAX32c1,573$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2432548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed 3DMAX31c1,571$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0654732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed MOUZ61c1,535$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.0115150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed 3DMAX27c1,522$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.988925.8%23 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX48c1,505$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.6859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed MOUZ73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40524935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed MOUZ74c1,498$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.588452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ58c1,460$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.1740253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed 3DMAX27c1,455$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ65c1,409$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.153,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 3DMAX30c1,368$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc38…3c4cbacked 3DMAX48c1,354$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.823857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…b542backed MOUZ64c1,353$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.233935.9%14 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked 3DMAX29c1,338$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.8615337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed MOUZ63c1,309$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1411265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…be15backed MOUZ63c1,186$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.263154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked MOUZ76c1,160$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.221,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked MOUZ73c1,132$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.641833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b26…9110backed MOUZ77c1,128$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0223…58c0backed 3DMAX26c1,100$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked MOUZ69c1,075$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33722266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed 3DMAX26c1,034$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5137145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX15c1,020$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.962,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed MOUZ74c1,014$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5119061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked MOUZ68c1,000$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31649849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.