CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bfdb9df0109447de6f1a347b43d204666c57e3bad1bffdb622ffdf06e2c6b3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked paiN | 30c | 5,091$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.99 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Gentle Mates | 69c | 3,577$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.87 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 1,313$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.16 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Gentle Mates | 71c | 883.39$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.86 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed paiN | 56c | 831.33$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.79 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed paiN | 31c | 629.9$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Gentle Mates | 69c | 575.51$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.62 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 501.42$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked paiN | 62c | 475.66$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.66 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…f207backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 436.56$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed paiN | 58c | 430$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gentle Mates | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed paiN | 28c | 372.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 362.29$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 343.04$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed paiN | 30c | 208.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked paiN | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed paiN | 31c | 182.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 154.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed paiN | 32c | 138.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…a44dbacked Gentle Mates | 71c | 104.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Gentle Mates | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 98.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed paiN | 53c | 96.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked paiN | 30c | 72.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 71.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed paiN | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN | 31c | 44.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked paiN | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 39.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Gentle Mates | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked paiN | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Gentle Mates | 69c | 33.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 20.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 14.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.