CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc44bcdb57cd43fc21d3451170cab2d2f5a59ff2f8b13b77e2e834c4fe20dc48b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 3,389$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.08 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 61c | 2,753$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.53 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Over | 47c | 2,124$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.28 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Under | 53c | 424$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 47c | 421.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 47c | 420.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed Under | 61c | 419.2$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 328.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.57 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 313.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 41c | 285.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 51c | 218.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 70c | 213.62$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked Over | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 51c | 194.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 183.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 180.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 34c | 106.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…d3ddbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 94.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 54c | 94.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 91.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 60c | 88.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 47c | 80.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 52c | 76.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 51c | 73.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 23c | 69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 53c | 65.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Under | 49c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 55c | 50.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 57c | 43.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…1135backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 35.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 68c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 50c | 26.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 60c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.