TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-06-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No53c162,355$85,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,363.521060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes47c21,638$10,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,1702657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Yes47c21,515$10,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,112.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes47c21,277$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Yes47c16,164$7,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,597.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes44c16,019$7,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,112.231,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes47c12,782$6,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0083542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c9,121$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.165,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes25c7,793$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.832,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes47c6,270$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.987645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes47c6,256$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.4140%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8802937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c3,932$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.951,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9924323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes47c2,480$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.491,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes47c2,036$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.479246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes47c1,719$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.7714058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes47c1,719$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.7740156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes2c1,500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes48c1,400$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9412552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008445.2%38 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaee…c167backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No72c905.8$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6211762.4%73 W · 44 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes47c805.55$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.611,10149.7%547 W · 554 L+3.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes47c776.66$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.0311849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes47c758.26$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6219856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes18c703.9$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.789672.9%70 W · 26 L+19.3wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+145.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes47c680.33$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.259750.5%49 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No63c609$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.332927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Yes36c539.91$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.611030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed No77c491.16$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.051833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Yes43c465.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No54c462$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5293446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No54c462$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.521,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c458.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5992235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c373.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.371,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No61c299.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1442151.3%216 W · 205 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Yes33c299.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Yes45c260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.541833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c258.53$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0296846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Yes48c219.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes46c217.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Yes46c215.78$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes43c210.87$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6711931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No78c210.23$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.321,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes28c196.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed Yes47c191.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No55c180.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.462661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff1…afedbacked Yes36c140.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452611.5%3 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-70.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No77c116$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.683925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2911557.4%66 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d2…d2dcbacked Yes48c103$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes13c98.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7158243%250 W · 332 L-26.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79c4…1d1fbacked No54c97.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes20c97.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5476255.9%426 W · 336 L+38.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes47c93.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3382053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes26c87.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.781,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No77c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6313655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes47c74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes45c73.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1810752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes47c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.551,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes47c54.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8440051%204 W · 196 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No63c54.05$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed Yes47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.381172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6432…36febacked Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes27c51.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.036943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4d…01c3backed Yes26c49.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes28c45.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes47c44.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9816659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c31…2c03backed Yes41c41.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…39e0backed Yes38c40.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41181.8%9 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.54per pick28cpaid+580.4%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f25…4f11backed Yes46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…1d65backed No54c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No72c35.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0256245.4%255 W · 307 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes35c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.97357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes48c33.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.192458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes47c31.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7654354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes38c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.641681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+42.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Yes49c25.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No75c23.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0142425.9%110 W · 314 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0315470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes45c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.464959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.