Asian League · resolved market
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f1423d2de1822f51601ec5db686edcca981b4831b52010f7c8d18d77e8e22e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 6,429$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.28 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…3688backed Yes | 74c | 4,300$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 11c | 2,630$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.49 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,500$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.05 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.9 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 971.14$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 30c | 910.31$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.74 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 842.41$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 70c | 781.57$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 72c | 773.55$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 76c | 667.93$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Yes | 29c | 636.12$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 23c | 515$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.65 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Yes | 73c | 399.97$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 379.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 22c | 289.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 270.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 74c | 243.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 38c | 222$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…612fbacked Yes | 78c | 186.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 80c | 174.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 43c | 162.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 161.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 55c | 146.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Yes | 31c | 137.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 9c | 128.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Yes | 25c | 128$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…fe54backed Yes | 43c | 113.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…d7fabacked Yes | 65c | 113.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 32c | 109.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 103.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 50c | 99.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 27c | 95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 70c | 90.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 82.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 26c | 75.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 52c | 70.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 26c | 67.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 39c | 67.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 59.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 53.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 35c | 41.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ed…892ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…da7bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed Yes | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 66c | 24.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed No | 70c | 24.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…401cbacked No | 76c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 67c | 24.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 62c | 21.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 69c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Yes | 68c | 15.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?this page
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.