TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof Ursa, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c8d…65e7backed GenOne54c7,847$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,232.34654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ursa67c6,649$4,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.571,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa46c5,300$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.65,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed GenOne22c4,301$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.341,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ursa58c3,398$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.871,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked GenOne21c3,182$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.213451.5%69 W · 65 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Ursa66c3,065$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.751,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ursa36c2,881$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.132,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed GenOne46c2,740$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.581,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Ursa52c2,643$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.3378043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Ursa50c2,632$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.461,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GenOne53c2,466$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.472,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ursa53c2,250$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.232,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa67c1,634$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.22,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed GenOne49c1,575$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.1682142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked GenOne49c1,429$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.4983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne49c1,340$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.55,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Ursa47c1,235$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.82,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked GenOne33c1,098$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.473,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked GenOne59c1,027$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.4945538.2%174 W · 281 L-29.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed GenOne1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Ursa45c999.98$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9925345.8%116 W · 137 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ursa57c989.23$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.544,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ursa47c953.88$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.182,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Ursa58c939.99$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.82,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked GenOne76c935.71$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.937447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Ursa64c900.5$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.536145.4%164 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked GenOne51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45994945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e20…a1aabacked GenOne66c838.08$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked GenOne25c751.75$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9262738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GenOne34c744.78$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.865,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked GenOne35c735.18$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.662,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Ursa24c729.17$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.175,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GenOne55c726.04$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.776,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Ursa47c692.48$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7850051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked GenOne56c578.9$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.431,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked GenOne55c544.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.642,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GenOne52c538.91$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.792,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked GenOne25c511.5$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.885230.8%16 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed GenOne55c500.73$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.49642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked GenOne12c500$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.836634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Ursa46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Ursa46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed GenOne59c499.94$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.871,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Ursa33c476.12$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.416648.2%80 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed GenOne51c474.61$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.055538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed GenOne12c450$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7545240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Ursa46c394.32$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0662448.2%301 W · 323 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4063…ea8dbacked Ursa41c387.36$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308344.6%37 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed GenOne37c369.87$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5932139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed GenOne40c365.94$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.082,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed GenOne52c357.69$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18622044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed Ursa46c325.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0323146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed GenOne52c314.37$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4715349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed GenOne19c311.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0996743.5%421 W · 546 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…dc5abacked Ursa41c302.16$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.871533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed GenOne75c300.01$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5128173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked GenOne52c300$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2892145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd37…9d71backed GenOne55c299.92$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.917347.9%35 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GenOne43c296.58$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.293,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed GenOne26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6557935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked GenOne41c249.83$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6249342%207 W · 286 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ursa50c242.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.63,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked GenOne26c242.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1673553.5%393 W · 342 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Ursa46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.627050.7%137 W · 133 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked GenOne48c239$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.491,39752.4%732 W · 665 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed GenOne64c225$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449737.1%36 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne30c220.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.14,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked GenOne77c214.29$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16544675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed GenOne22c207.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0789630.7%275 W · 621 L-64.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca58…7975backed GenOne51c206.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked GenOne26c200.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.222,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed GenOne53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633844.4%150 W · 188 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Ursa50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10032461.4%199 W · 125 L+23.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Ursa58c188.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0521653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed GenOne53c187.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Ursa47c187.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2338049.5%188 W · 192 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Ursa44c183.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.019251.1%47 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Ursa45c181.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.174754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked GenOne55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked GenOne32c178.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3840635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Ursa28c175$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12656938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked GenOne18c173.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.152133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8592…89e2backed GenOne53c170.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed GenOne53c169.21$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6840542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed GenOne55c164.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2877351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Ursa48c158.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0620248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed GenOne52c152.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806429.7%19 W · 45 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-38.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked GenOne22c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.69430.9%29 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ursa52c149.23$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.071,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Ursa47c144.18$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1222049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Ursa12c141.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8916036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed GenOne16c137.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked GenOne52c132.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9535947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked GenOne58c130.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.131,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked GenOne78c128$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked GenOne52c127.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3619351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Ursa54c124.91$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4140972.4%296 W · 113 L+38.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Ursa34c123.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7540839.2%160 W · 248 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed GenOne18c118.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.