CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x714d41dfeea19d46d336dd7f53b1ad39009f15afe4606834027e5a152def8b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof Ursa, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Ursa | 64c | 4,018$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.9 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GenOne | 49c | 3,444$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.99 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Ursa | 32c | 2,195$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.76 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GenOne | 57c | 1,583$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.68 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GenOne | 41c | 1,471$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.51 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 53c | 1,354$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GenOne | 37c | 1,178$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.62 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ursa | 50c | 1,035$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Ursa | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Ursa | 41c | 798.63$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.16 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ursa | 46c | 573$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Ursa | 42c | 549$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ursa | 41c | 535.69$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Ursa | 35c | 534.18$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.11 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked GenOne | 34c | 482$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.58 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Ursa | 42c | 447.01$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ursa | 43c | 434$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 22c | 391.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…ea8dbacked Ursa | 58c | 383.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked GenOne | 51c | 374.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked GenOne | 46c | 315.57$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked GenOne | 39c | 300$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed GenOne | 40c | 289.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne | 56c | 288.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Ursa | 40c | 273$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Ursa | 34c | 228.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Ursa | 47c | 221.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed GenOne | 33c | 214.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 35c | 187.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed GenOne | 48c | 186.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ursa | 47c | 171.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GenOne | 58c | 165.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ursa | 48c | 156.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Ursa | 16c | 147$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked GenOne | 56c | 137.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ursa | 46c | 108.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Ursa | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Ursa | 30c | 78.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Ursa | 42c | 76.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GenOne | 33c | 73.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked GenOne | 52c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked GenOne | 44c | 66.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Ursa | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed GenOne | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ursa | 45c | 46.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked GenOne | 51c | 29.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ursa | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ursa | 53c | 25.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ursa | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed GenOne | 61c | 23.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.