CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d597d2237c661a6fa11caae3b684eec18d10f92baeafa3e68ee288a8069b415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne | 78c | 5,740$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.23 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ursa | 56c | 4,036$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.45 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 32c | 2,337$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GenOne | 59c | 1,117$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed GenOne | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked GenOne | 54c | 836.25$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.57 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GenOne | 58c | 753.97$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GenOne | 43c | 735.59$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 46c | 562.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked GenOne | 34c | 541$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.83 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 24c | 533.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed GenOne | 54c | 505$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…ea8dbacked Ursa | 33c | 338.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.42 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked GenOne | 59c | 300.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.72 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GenOne | 22c | 297.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GenOne | 79c | 288.69$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 65c | 242.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ursa | 22c | 224.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Ursa | 22c | 190.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Ursa | 41c | 186.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed GenOne | 55c | 185.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Ursa | 59c | 185$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GenOne | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ursa | 37c | 174$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed GenOne | 56c | 166.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Ursa | 46c | 166.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed GenOne | 9c | 154$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ursa | 22c | 132.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked GenOne | 77c | 129$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Ursa | 35c | 119.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Ursa | 23c | 114.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ursa | 36c | 113.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked GenOne | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed GenOne | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed GenOne | 54c | 99.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Ursa | 36c | 93.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked GenOne | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked GenOne | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed GenOne | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed GenOne | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked GenOne | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked GenOne | 27c | 74.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked GenOne | 66c | 72.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Ursa | 16c | 71.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed GenOne | 56c | 64.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked GenOne | 37c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GenOne | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GenOne | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed GenOne | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed GenOne | 35c | 46.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Ursa | 33c | 39.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked GenOne | 38c | 37.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Ursa | 54c | 31.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ursa | 46c | 30.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed GenOne | 76c | 30.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked Ursa | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked GenOne | 78c | 26.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed GenOne | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.