CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3485dc2f0f05272aaa1bf17143dc0709a94c5dcf33b2969c5211950a08c29d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof GenOne, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 70c | 1,734$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked GenOne | 30c | 1,076$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.82 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked GenOne | 29c | 599.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed GenOne | 27c | 481.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed GenOne | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed GenOne | 63c | 412.75$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.27 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ursa | 73c | 411.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked GenOne | 30c | 335.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…4bc6backed Ursa | 22c | 299.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked GenOne | 27c | 269.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Ursa | 70c | 251.23$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GenOne | 30c | 188.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Ursa | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked GenOne | 76c | 96.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Ursa | 71c | 79.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed GenOne | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Ursa | 30c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked Ursa | 70c | 37.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ursa | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Ursa | 71c | 26.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…a82fbacked Ursa | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Ursa | 70c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.