Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda890bc7af22dfd60506f54af191e1a5f8ac95bd4e65c345f707e006a749457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Yakult Brothers, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 100,449$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,448.82 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.91 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 38,432$23,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,988.61 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 25,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 22,962$14,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,725.71 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 22,496$8,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,408.87 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yakult Brothers | 23c | 18,149$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.23 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 15,000$5,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884.77 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 13,027$8,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.96 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 11,246$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.46 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Yakult Brothers | 13c | 8,758$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.11 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 8,750$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.41 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 7,928$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.45 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 6,906$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Yakult Brothers | 1c | 6,612$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 6,045$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.3 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 6,000$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.91 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 5,031$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.73 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 4,972$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.36 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 4,789$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.46 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 4,489$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.09 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 3,977$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.09 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 3,513$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.73 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 3,458$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.54 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 3,439$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.82 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 3,436$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.02 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 16c | 2,880$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.19 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 2,788$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 2,760$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yakult Brothers | 9c | 2,756$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 2,630$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.39 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 2,500$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.01 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 2,475$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 2,363$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…3dd9backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 2,354$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 2,100$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.91 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Yakult Brothers | 18c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Rune Eaters | 78c | 1,776$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yakult Brothers | 1c | 1,744$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,700$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,667$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…5c9cbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 1,576$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.97 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 1,576$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 1,529$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 1,480$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.59 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,468$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.84 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,456$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,437$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Yakult Brothers | 23c | 1,208$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,096$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.48 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 1,042$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.6 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yakult Brothers | 4c | 973.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 815$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 777$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Yakult Brothers | 18c | 770.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 687.46$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.8 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 679.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.63 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 666.67$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…98afbacked Rune Eaters | 78c | 666$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 653.29$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 637.51$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.38 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Yakult Brothers | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 596.11$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.37 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 586.69$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.94 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 585$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…0ff3backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 555$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Yakult Brothers | 5c | 550$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 537.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 494$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…52fabacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 482.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 450$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 434.94$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…b8f2backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 423.68$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 411.61$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 411$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Rune Eaters | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 379.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 379.63$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 365.43$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 365.38$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 328.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 306.88$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3a71backed Rune Eaters | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerYakult Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.