Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1720782159ae45366897061c77403e1d2a63453603fd5f9834f049311c0290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Muchova, Gauff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Gauff | 71c | 12,250$8,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.49 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Gauff | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Muchova | 29c | 7,500$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Muchova | 29c | 7,402$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.5 | 1,163 | 41.5%483 W · 680 L | +26.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Muchova | 29c | 4,126$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Gauff | 46c | 2,569$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.22 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Muchova | 29c | 1,174$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.14 | 2,223 | 36.9%821 W · 1,402 L | +40.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Muchova | 69c | 947.25$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Muchova | 31c | 902.86$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 505 | 42.4%214 W · 291 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Gauff | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Muchova | 29c | 714$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 440 | 43.9%193 W · 247 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Muchova | 29c | 590$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Muchova | 55c | 492$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Muchova | 29c | 435.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 458 | 52%238 W · 220 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Gauff | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Gauff | 71c | 389.31$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Gauff | 67c | 336.36$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Muchova | 33c | 333.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Muchova | 29c | 320$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 451 | 42.8%193 W · 258 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Muchova | 54c | 261.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 2,442 | 50.9%1,243 W · 1,199 L | +83.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Muchova | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Muchova | 29c | 218$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 391 | 52.2%204 W · 187 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Muchova | 28c | 205.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Gauff | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Muchova | 55c | 181.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Muchova | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…159dbacked Muchova | 29c | 146$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Gauff | 59c | 143.11$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Gauff | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…505ebacked Muchova | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Gauff | 67c | 136.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 2,286 | 42.9%980 W · 1,306 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Muchova | 30c | 118.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Muchova | 11c | 111.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Muchova | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Muchova | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 362 | 61.6%223 W · 139 L | +40.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Gauff | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Muchova | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Gauff | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Muchova | 33c | 88.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Muchova | 34c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Muchova | 66c | 69.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Gauff | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 483 | 45.8%221 W · 262 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Muchova | 30c | 58.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Muchova | 29c | 52.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Muchova | 32c | 51.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Gauff | 54c | 46.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…b969backed Gauff | 68c | 44.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Muchova | 32c | 44.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 431 | 42%181 W · 250 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Muchova | 33c | 43.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Gauff | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Gauff | 68c | 42.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Muchova | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…7acdbacked Gauff | 75c | 39.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gauff | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Muchova | 32c | 36.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Gauff | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…f57ebacked Muchova | 48c | 24.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Gauff | 67c | 24.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523fbacked Muchova | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)this page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs GauffMuchova won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs GauffGauff won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco GauffKarolina Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.