Dota2 · resolved market
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff79669558f811bb049ca12b3cfb29fa70afd6037b02fa353d8632ab63ba9e1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 29c | 3,304$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.93 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 69c | 3,218$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.51 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Yes | 72c | 2,780$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.4 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed Yes | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 48c | 1,168$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.45 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…73c1backed Yes | 61c | 1,140$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 61c | 1,137$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.78 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked No | 33c | 907.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 29c | 725$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 29c | 643.37$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yes | 66c | 639.74$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Yes | 67c | 616.09$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked No | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 35c | 590.04$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked No | 33c | 499.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 54c | 498$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed No | 44c | 497.41$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 70c | 472.18$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…29e9backed No | 36c | 438.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed No | 29c | 407$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed No | 30c | 367.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes | 78c | 365.94$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 31c | 319.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked No | 29c | 224.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 26c | 189.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Yes | 54c | 183.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed No | 31c | 175.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed No | 27c | 168.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Yes | 48c | 167.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Yes | 65c | 148.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…32f1backed Yes | 41c | 138.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 45c | 134.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Yes | 63c | 130.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 180 | 55.6%100 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yes | 45c | 113.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Yes | 73c | 109.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 29c | 106$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 72c | 105.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Yes | 72c | 103.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed No | 58c | 86.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Yes | 45c | 82.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 77.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed No | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 71c | 71.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 50c | 71.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 77c | 57.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Yes | 47c | 56.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 31c | 51.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…9d50backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Yes | 75c | 44.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 71c | 41.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed No | 35c | 39.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…f593backed Yes | 66c | 38.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 60c | 33.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yes | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Yes | 48c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…dee6backed Yes | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BetBoom Team to win 2-0?this page
- BetBoom Team vs MOUZ: Draw (1-1)?No won
- MOUZ to win 2-0?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.