CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs K28 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa005ef186eabc38f0ba0319c132b14c664acc48fbb5d9f1d3442c96f1a99f0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, K28
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x635d…7047backed K28 | 8c | 1,087$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed K28 | 8c | 904.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed K28 | 6c | 537$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed K28 | 14c | 503.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked K28 | 11c | 420.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed K28 | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked K28 | 7c | 378.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed K28 | 10c | 311.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked K28 | 18c | 231$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked K28 | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed K28 | 13c | 162$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked K28 | 10c | 158.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…d352backed K28 | 13c | 150.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked K28 | 10c | 150.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked K28 | 10c | 149$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked K28 | 10c | 124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed K28 | 18c | 112.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed K28 | 15c | 107.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked K28 | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked K28 | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed K28 | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked K28 | 21c | 91.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked K28 | 17c | 89.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6928…1075backed K28 | 16c | 88.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed K28 | 15c | 83.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…cd90backed K28 | 22c | 83.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked K28 | 17c | 64.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed K28 | 20c | 60.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga | 80c | 50.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs K28 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs K28 - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs K28 - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.