Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x359f5203951a52961a987911d3447eb9470852cef01e9aa1729fc24f5f9143a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof LGD Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed 1win | 51c | 32,763$16,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,974.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 1win | 52c | 13,924$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650.44 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 10,570$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 10,000$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.06 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked LGD Gaming | 44c | 8,005$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 54c | 5,598$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.35 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 5,554$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.78 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed LGD Gaming | 23c | 4,657$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.77 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed 1win | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 2,546$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.11 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked LGD Gaming | 24c | 2,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked LGD Gaming | 23c | 1,218$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LGD Gaming | 26c | 817.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed LGD Gaming | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LGD Gaming | 36c | 624.52$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 53c | 551.88$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 526$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed 1win | 68c | 426.59$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 399.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 393.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed 1win | 49c | 349.18$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1win | 42c | 287$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 285.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 270.23$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 267.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed 1win | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed LGD Gaming | 18c | 234.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed 1win | 70c | 220.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed 1win | 49c | 208.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 206.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed 1win | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…f39fbacked LGD Gaming | 19c | 199.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…02b1backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 198.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed 1win | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…54e0backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 188.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed 1win | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed 1win | 51c | 178.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked LGD Gaming | 36c | 166.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed LGD Gaming | 22c | 155.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed 1win | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked 1win | 54c | 124.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed 1win | 54c | 111.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked LGD Gaming | 38c | 108.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 1win | 55c | 107.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked 1win | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…d35bbacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed 1win | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed 1win | 50c | 94.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed 1win | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked 1win | 76c | 92.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed 1win | 49c | 81.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed 1win | 74c | 81.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked 1win | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed 1win | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…319bbacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 74.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed 1win | 57c | 69.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked 1win | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed 1win | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed LGD Gaming | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked 1win | 48c | 63.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked LGD Gaming | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…5f74backed 1win | 53c | 57.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked 1win | 62c | 56.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…c85bbacked 1win | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked LGD Gaming | 23c | 52.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 50.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 50.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed 1win | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…3af5backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed 1win | 52c | 35.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…7d48backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…d2d8backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed 1win | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…1813backed 1win | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…aa54backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 28.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked 1win | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…3239backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…b241backed 1win | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…1dd1backed 1win | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked 1win | 79c | 23.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f61…9b64backed 1win | 51c | 22.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed 1win | 53c | 21.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed 1win | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…89adbacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…9b3abacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed 1win | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked 1win | 64c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked 1win | 70c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.