TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc23…3af5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.99
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.26
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.85
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$90.62
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.08
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.93
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.09
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.06
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.06
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.15
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.77
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.44
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$110.7
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.51
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.44
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.64
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.06
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.23
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$98.34
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+93.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.