TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Jesper de Jong

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Jesper de Jong
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Jesper de Jong25c85,000$21,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,549.9911633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Adam Walton76c23,891$18,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,691.358,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Adam Walton77c16,567$12,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.444,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Adam Walton80c12,816$10,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.21,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Adam Walton80c12,590$10,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.914,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Adam Walton67c7,540$5,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.191,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Adam Walton63c6,125$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.041,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Adam Walton67c4,864$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.983,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Jesper de Jong5c2,200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Adam Walton78c2,100$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.893,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Jesper de Jong1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jesper de Jong26c1,559$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.838,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Adam Walton73c945.23$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.315,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jesper de Jong37c898.61$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.493,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jesper de Jong11c810.28$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.792,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Jesper de Jong25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Jesper de Jong25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014418.1%26 W · 118 L-0.5wins0.00per pick18cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Jesper de Jong21c774.7$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.271,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Adam Walton80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jesper de Jong37c587.06$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.652,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Adam Walton63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18514252.8%75 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1e…20aebacked Adam Walton63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856560%39 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Adam Walton72c418.81$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.751,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18de…7c92backed Adam Walton80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8014754.4%80 W · 67 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jesper de Jong37c376.05$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Adam Walton63c316.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4547058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Adam Walton74c299.16$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7436946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeec…2f66backed Adam Walton76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1621661.1%132 W · 84 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Adam Walton63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.191754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Jesper de Jong37c235.19$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.17136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc6…1cedbacked Jesper de Jong11c187.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Jesper de Jong22c171.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.631,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Jesper de Jong17c164.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4754141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Adam Walton76c163$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.54,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Jesper de Jong18c146.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4146435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Jesper de Jong34c145.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Jesper de Jong37c144.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.552564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Adam Walton80c129.66$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9382958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Adam Walton74c128.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.886,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Adam Walton63c125.87$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5784968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Adam Walton80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jesper de Jong37c122.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.487,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Jesper de Jong37c121$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7799249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Jesper de Jong18c119.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.630235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Jesper de Jong37c114.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.681,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Adam Walton63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.112,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Adam Walton66c106.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8178838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Jesper de Jong26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611345.1%51 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Adam Walton63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Adam Walton67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3364837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Adam Walton63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3793945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Jesper de Jong26c91.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8611618.1%21 W · 95 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Adam Walton80c91.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3121147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17db…a32fbacked Jesper de Jong37c83.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Jesper de Jong32c81.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8155347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Jesper de Jong37c81.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.011,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Adam Walton80c80.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1523256.5%131 W · 101 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d1…73edbacked Adam Walton63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.378867%59 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d32…25a8backed Adam Walton76c78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.98267.1%55 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Jesper de Jong25c77.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210729.9%32 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Jesper de Jong35c74.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2635039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Adam Walton75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6714656.2%82 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Adam Walton79c65.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.562,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x055a…b4f2backed Adam Walton63c65.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.092254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf091…4a1dbacked Adam Walton77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Adam Walton63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4937058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Adam Walton80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Adam Walton80c61.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3827549.1%135 W · 140 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Jesper de Jong37c56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.721,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Adam Walton80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Jesper de Jong38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012742.5%54 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Adam Walton76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6336264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f8…497dbacked Adam Walton78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.283070%21 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Adam Walton74c50.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.034,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Jesper de Jong37c43.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9452847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Jesper de Jong37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810451%53 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed Adam Walton63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82176.2%16 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Jesper de Jong35c39.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Adam Walton76c39.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4726955%148 W · 121 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Adam Walton78c36.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1445564.6%294 W · 161 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Adam Walton63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7534359.5%204 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Adam Walton63c31.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7410855.6%60 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Adam Walton70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.437266.7%248 W · 124 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Jesper de Jong38c27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Adam Walton77c25.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9127448.5%133 W · 141 L+24.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked Adam Walton78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Adam Walton60c24.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b2…5486backed Adam Walton63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.818777%67 W · 20 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Adam Walton52c22.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.951,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3998…ec0dbacked Jesper de Jong48c22.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4b5…1bd4backed Adam Walton63c20.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6316445.1%74 W · 90 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Adam Walton68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5910266.7%68 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Adam Walton73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.436154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f0…c32dbacked Adam Walton75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54860.4%29 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Adam Walton74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.210395.1%98 W · 5 L+25.4wins+0.25per pick70cpaid+32.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Adam Walton72c17.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Adam Walton80c15.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.081,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62d3…b56bbacked Adam Walton79c15.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.