Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Oliver Tarvet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dce948fa44ca14bd461ec15c307e240135e155a7c47baa6b86921c8726eb86a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliver Tarvetof Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida, Oliver Tarvet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 1c | 11,667$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 15c | 2,179$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.7 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Oliver Tarvet | 75c | 1,741$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.69 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 25c | 1,580$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.2 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 1c | 1,456$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 14c | 1,429$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 20c | 1,081$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 9c | 877.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 12c | 733.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 23c | 672.21$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 18c | 546$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Oliver Tarvet | 76c | 491.1$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 15c | 487.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 11c | 435.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 9c | 338.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…f256backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 10c | 261.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Oliver Tarvet | 79c | 243.48$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 13c | 171.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Oliver Tarvet | 72c | 127.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 15c | 123.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 24c | 101$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 11c | 98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 221 | 43.9%97 W · 124 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 17c | 85.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Oliver Tarvet | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 21c | 75.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Oliver Tarvet | 73c | 67.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Oliver Tarvet | 78c | 64.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d82abacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 25c | 50.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Oliver Tarvet | 76c | 48.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 24c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Oliver Tarvet | 76c | 40.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Oliver Tarvet | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Oliver Tarvet | 79c | 22.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Oliver Tarvet | 73c | 22.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Oliver Tarvet | 71c | 21.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Oliver Tarvet | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b642backed Oliver Tarvet | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Oliver Tarvet | 72c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 180 | 68.9%124 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Oliver Tarvet | 76c | 16.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.