MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88675126947d72020ad03f891cc9e51fff5f8a8c869bb4f6e0f6f99469c0c6fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Angels, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Phillies | 61c | 10,762$6,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,531.57 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 29c | 7,186$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Angels | 39c | 6,199$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.16 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Angels | 52c | 5,642$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.89 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 61c | 4,032$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Angels | 39c | 3,997$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.11 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Angels | 38c | 3,800$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 63c | 3,017$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.02 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…2a4ebacked Phillies | 61c | 2,451$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 63c | 2,335$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.05 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Phillies | 18c | 1,949$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.31 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Phillies | 21c | 1,914$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels | 40c | 1,630$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 37c | 1,197$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 61c | 1,053$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.4 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Angels | 39c | 958.26$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.12 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 36c | 940.72$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 18c | 819$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 53c | 750.83$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 21c | 705.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.14 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Angels | 38c | 663.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.2 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 62c | 643.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Angels | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 37c | 544.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.34 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Angels | 37c | 531$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.53 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Angels | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 39c | 443.59$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Phillies | 59c | 340.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Phillies | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Angels | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Angels | 37c | 232$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Angels | 70c | 213.13$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 11c | 208.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Phillies | 35c | 201.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 38c | 199.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Angels | 36c | 196.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…e6c4backed Angels | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Angels | 59c | 184.15$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Phillies | 61c | 164.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 61c | 163$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Phillies | 62c | 161.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 29c | 156$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 68c | 155.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Angels | 39c | 154$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f99…95bdbacked Phillies | 62c | 137.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…ac40backed Phillies | 34c | 130.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Angels | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Angels | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels | 40c | 116$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Phillies | 32c | 103.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Phillies | 16c | 95.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Phillies | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Angels | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Angels | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Angels | 36c | 72.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Phillies | 21c | 70.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Phillies | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Angels | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Angels | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…1f3cbacked Angels | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…e629backed Phillies | 64c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Phillies | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Angels | 40c | 54.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Angels | 72c | 52.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Angels | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Angels | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Angels | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…fe2abacked Phillies | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 61cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…c166backed Angels | 55c | 45.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Angels | 42c | 44.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Angels | 65c | 43.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed Phillies | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Angels | 37c | 33.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Angels | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Phillies | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Angels | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Angels | 52c | 30.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Phillies | 59c | 24.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Angels | 54c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Phillies | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.