TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Vici Gaming, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming17c30,619$5,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,295.1623435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming15c16,365$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.2171143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e2…6e75backed Vici Gaming17c7,290$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Vici Gaming15c6,117$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.3436248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Vici Gaming15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Vici Gaming19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95014515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Vici Gaming15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9919742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Vici Gaming17c4,370$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.917452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming15c4,183$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.6988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc53a…51b8backed Vici Gaming7c3,900$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.51020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Vici Gaming17c3,660$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.24632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed Team Yandex80c3,402$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.44065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Vici Gaming16c3,100$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49641351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming17c2,469$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.261,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming15c2,440$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.231,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Vici Gaming8c2,411$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.953844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Vici Gaming12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24069132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Vici Gaming15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30069835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming16c1,934$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.371,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked Vici Gaming13c1,931$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605850%29 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed Vici Gaming17c1,830$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.15639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Vici Gaming16c1,758$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2749428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked Team Yandex80c1,701$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.25745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Vici Gaming13c1,692$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.118456%47 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21e2…07e8backed Vici Gaming8c1,575$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264951%25 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Vici Gaming10c1,411$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8571342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Vici Gaming15c1,340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20114750.3%74 W · 73 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Vici Gaming16c1,311$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6946240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4141…cffcbacked Vici Gaming16c1,308$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.21050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Vici Gaming16c1,300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2086240.3%25 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Vici Gaming16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011949.6%59 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ea…36cdbacked Team Yandex80c1,134$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.83250%16 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d4…3f96backed Vici Gaming16c1,117$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.751020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x723e…f37ebacked Vici Gaming9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Vici Gaming13c1,051$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1392817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-61.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Vici Gaming12c1,045$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.520233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Vici Gaming16c1,017$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.724734%16 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Vici Gaming15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Vici Gaming9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ded…5a66backed Vici Gaming20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Vici Gaming15c793.85$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.732548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Vici Gaming8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Vici Gaming15c704$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-82.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Vici Gaming19c683.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Vici Gaming15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017040.6%69 W · 101 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Vici Gaming15c650$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.58842%37 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Vici Gaming12c649.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6737745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4d…4065backed Team Yandex80c634$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.83562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0925…03b3backed Vici Gaming10c629.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9638649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Vici Gaming17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Vici Gaming14c583.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3953634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Vici Gaming18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d97…07e9backed Vici Gaming11c505.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2517…8359backed Vici Gaming16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802825%7 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54a0…111abacked Vici Gaming4c499.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Vici Gaming15c481.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f1…4ea8backed Vici Gaming10c473.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Vici Gaming17c470.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8026741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Vici Gaming3c446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.414452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Vici Gaming16c437.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026343%113 W · 150 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Vici Gaming12c425$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.521328.2%60 W · 153 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Vici Gaming5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.977745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…74babacked Vici Gaming8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a2…36a9backed Vici Gaming16c279.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.753423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b02…e0babacked Vici Gaming16c246.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.43122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Vici Gaming15c238$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.715353.6%82 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked Vici Gaming10c226.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.633745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb990…1a3abacked Vici Gaming9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Vici Gaming16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Vici Gaming15c216.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.954445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7251…4a60backed Vici Gaming14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Vici Gaming17c209.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6543860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Vici Gaming15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014058.6%82 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf553…45a7backed Vici Gaming16c192.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…461bbacked Vici Gaming16c192.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27a4…d44cbacked Vici Gaming16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b0…63cfbacked Vici Gaming8c176.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Vici Gaming15c155.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3633445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Vici Gaming20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308035%28 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c84…2929backed Vici Gaming16c147$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Vici Gaming14c124$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3638547.5%183 W · 202 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Vici Gaming16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.229432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4213…41c9backed Vici Gaming16c106.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172119%4 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Vici Gaming11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6450444%222 W · 282 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Vici Gaming16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Yandex80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Vici Gaming11c99.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9724034.2%82 W · 158 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x609f…998abacked Vici Gaming16c99.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed Vici Gaming15c93.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Yandex80c93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Vici Gaming16c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e1…a95abacked Vici Gaming16c73.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Vici Gaming15c72.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9423736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6463…e8fdbacked Vici Gaming16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f80…0a99backed Vici Gaming16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6012…6dc3backed Vici Gaming16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194f…c849backed Vici Gaming16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015642.9%67 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.