TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4cb0…57e0backed Vici Gaming42c6,212$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.163953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Vici Gaming40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9936248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Yandex58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2604751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex69c2,963$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.2935850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Vici Gaming40c2,899$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.511020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Team Yandex60c2,863$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.218152.5%95 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f6…a5d3backed Team Yandex60c2,512$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Vici Gaming41c2,063$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.8815544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Team Yandex59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9211656%65 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming29c1,500$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4421,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Vici Gaming36c1,479$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.442817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-61.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Vici Gaming44c1,342$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9835951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Yandex58c1,149$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.5814557.9%84 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Yandex58c1,050$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44127060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Team Yandex59c1,012$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9214657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Vici Gaming41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Yandex58c998.98$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.578146.9%38 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Vici Gaming42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2776…4ecbbacked Team Yandex58c843.38$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.227262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex60c835.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3347660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming46c777.77$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7758744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Team Yandex57c750$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.687745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…706cbacked Vici Gaming41c719.13$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8910941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming45c650.2$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.521,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Yandex60c572.49$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0361449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Vici Gaming41c540.34$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5441050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Vici Gaming44c505$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0326741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Vici Gaming42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106240.3%25 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Vici Gaming42c349.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14712250%61 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Vici Gaming41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12321045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Yandex57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12967555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…7834backed Team Yandex60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12973743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Yandex58c296.14$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3833445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked Vici Gaming35c285.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014956.4%84 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Team Yandex54c277.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7750053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Team Yandex59c269.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Team Yandex58c264.56$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.122157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Yandex58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10521353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Yandex56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11054659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2517…8359backed Vici Gaming42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002825%7 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde1d…dfaabacked Team Yandex62c216$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.082259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Team Yandex56c211.29$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2919460.3%117 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Yandex54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9219856.1%111 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Vici Gaming30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6074549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Yandex54c192.83$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.712155.4%67 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+134.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e6…05f4backed Team Yandex57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4413268.2%90 W · 42 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked Team Yandex49c175.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.473542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ea…15cbbacked Team Yandex57c170.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.441872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+73.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Team Yandex60c167.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0822453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Team Yandex60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbac…6b32backed Team Yandex68c158.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Team Yandex59c152.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.547847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Team Yandex59c140.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.19952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Yandex58c136.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.589052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Yandex59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.530844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.562841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Yandex58c121$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5822240.1%89 W · 133 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x395c…ad6fbacked Team Yandex57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.053063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Vici Gaming41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4152950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7578…2629backed Team Yandex78c90.87$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.992540%10 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02e9…443bbacked Team Yandex56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2910650%53 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Vici Gaming46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3529432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Team Yandex58c85.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8837252.7%196 W · 176 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6b…a307backed Team Yandex59c82.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.798940.4%36 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Team Yandex57c80.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.79140.7%37 W · 54 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Yandex56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.220820.7%43 W · 165 L-18.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Vici Gaming42c71.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4420…5658backed Team Yandex56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.438861.4%54 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed Team Yandex57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1811450%57 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Team Yandex56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.817648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Vici Gaming42c67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1312556.8%71 W · 54 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed Team Yandex59c66.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.132154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Team Yandex56c65.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.610643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Team Yandex53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2618550.8%94 W · 91 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Team Yandex60c61.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6728252.5%148 W · 134 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Yandex56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.415465.6%101 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed Team Yandex68c57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Team Yandex70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1514252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Team Yandex58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217147.9%34 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team Yandex58c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1514058.6%82 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7093…a798backed Team Yandex57c45.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.494542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ae…18a2backed Team Yandex60c42.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked Vici Gaming45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Team Yandex60c31.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Team Yandex58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.640844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Vici Gaming42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.697142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb5…8353backed Vici Gaming44c27.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc84f…2a83backed Team Yandex60c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Yandex54c24.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3932548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Team Yandex57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5611643.1%50 W · 66 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf4c…f414backed Team Yandex59c24.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.882948.3%14 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Yandex65c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0566545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0d…9a70backed Team Yandex56c22.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.812360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.