MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f416c807eceb4d30a0fe212a457a2c3d11b6867912aec152b03ff630765b0d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $602,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Astros | 46c | 343,222$156,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,355.46 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 120,053$65,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,629.91 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 93,774$50,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,638.1 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 42,000$22,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,680 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 47c | 34,237$16,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,225.51 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 19,235$13,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,204.13 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 16,608$8,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,943.59 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 15,919$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.56 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 12,815$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 12c | 12,352$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 10,155$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.67 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 9,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 7,200$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 6,450$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.68 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 6,237$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.78 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Astros | 54c | 5,349$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.41 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,535$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.72 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 4,524$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.27 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 4,459$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 4,073$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.79 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 4,067$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,367$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,200$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 2,784$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.46 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Astros | 44c | 2,780$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Astros | 53c | 2,757$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.8 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Astros | 36c | 2,741$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.72 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4743backed Astros | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f263backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Astros | 54c | 2,274$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.93 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Astros | 71c | 2,222$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.57 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…5d11backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks | 21c | 2,150$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.76 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.67 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 34c | 1,956$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.88 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Astros | 44c | 1,790$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,669$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Astros | 52c | 1,347$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.32 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,272$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Astros | 45c | 1,258$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.78 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,195$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…d78fbacked Astros | 49c | 1,155$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…8b2fbacked Astros | 49c | 1,045$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8150backed Astros | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Astros | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 41c | 966$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.56 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Astros | 32c | 928.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.12 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…dd29backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 825.22$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Astros | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 759.54$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.41 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 70c | 717.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…397ebacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Astros | 37c | 623.1$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…de50backed Astros | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Diamondbacks | 66c | 514.69$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 24c | 504.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Astros | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 454.4$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Astros | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 432.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 403$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 46c | 402.89$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Astros | 30c | 400$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.37 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 385.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 46c | 365.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.35 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 364.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Astros | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 349.32$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 341.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 46c | 340.75$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Astros | 51c | 332.52$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Astros | 30c | 318.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astros | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 47c | 300.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Astros | 70c | 300$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Astros | 49c | 289.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 52c | 288.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Astros | 74c | 271.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Diamondbacks | 11c | 235.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 229.07$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 46c | 219.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Astros | 69c | 209.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.