TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No39c20,277$7,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,993.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No62c18,105$11,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,251.241,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes38c14,655$5,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,086.067750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick32cpaid+129.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes34c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.871250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No34c8,811$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.653452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes65c4,877$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.0336462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No30c3,422$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.617353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes61c3,310$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.5676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No58c3,010$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.6420059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes66c2,082$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.71,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes38c1,775$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.7523243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c1,721$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.4654340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes35c1,600$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No56c1,570$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.995160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No37c1,544$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.4748950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes41c1,266$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.661,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c1,247$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3444,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c1,200$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.9859247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c1,166$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.6180953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes67c1,089$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.364461.4%27 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes55c1,071$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.1257833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No62c1,058$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.1769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29082763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c999.98$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9959445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes71c985.91$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.913253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7046…61b6backed Yes44c897.91$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8e…a37dbacked No57c861.99$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd590…5573backed Yes44c777.46$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967b…7498backed Yes44c743.49$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…5b16backed No57c738.58$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…fe4bbacked No57c728.62$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed No18c704.02$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.72728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No57c635.5$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.247635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes38c587.11$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.017742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes74c561.72$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4510579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No33c553.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.233171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7064…b741backed Yes44c545.38$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No16c543.78$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.115429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes74c537.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.368375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5873…d3fdbacked No57c534.47$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c486.92$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.022,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes42c452.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes45c447.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5714949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No40c405$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8814253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No38c403.22$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.573228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No66c399.98$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9930149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…4832backed Yes44c383.07$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No19c360.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.472133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c310$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No59c297.72$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.622250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No60c295.56$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.712231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No62c286.11$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked No65c275.43$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.11877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No57c272.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.619239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No59c269.2$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.835763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb751…8d99backed Yes34c255.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No42c244$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4841343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.18736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No31c237.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.761,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No56c236.16$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.041,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c223$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.881,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No65c213$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.729643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No50c211.68$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8411655.2%64 W · 52 L+13.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No8c210.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.849660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No8c210.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.849358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes67c205.47$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.47844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11826247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No11c193.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+138.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d6…815abacked No57c187.14$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a0…ff3ebacked No57c184.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No21c182.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2713633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes39c179.05$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1618651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No30c170.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.086040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No62c163$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.348247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No62c157.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3728456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No60c152.81$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002626.9%7 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc1ff…6a5fbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c137$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes73c130.36$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.777032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes39c129$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes78c125$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.511049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a98…ef19backed No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No50c116.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.383655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No51c115$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2937840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No50c111.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8621250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No34c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.311645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes75c106.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6773258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No62c104.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.924434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No40c100.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.57652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No26c99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked No65c96.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.981764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfca0…2247backed No41c94.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No39c91.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.215058%29 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No43c90.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.