Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf523a62d9ba7a40c75629b9141b0eeeb43112cbb9f2bc66e99eea9a7f841036d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 25c | 11,544$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.85 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 4,901$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 8c | 4,305$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.79 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 2,626$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.05 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 2,620$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.04 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 1,814$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.91 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 1,069$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.93 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 2c | 970$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 76c | 961.99$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 505.53$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 471.71$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 21c | 465.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 383.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 21c | 265.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 18c | 210.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 71c | 208.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 202$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 202$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 124$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 21c | 93.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 80.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 78c | 72.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 22c | 60.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 38.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 71c | 34.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 79c | 20.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…7ba8backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.