Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaff57614c9a477e16e526861580891305bc1b5701f6ece02b62f4e00f603a996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 21,594$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.73 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 20,177$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 11c | 10,762$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.51 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 9c | 6,039$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.56 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 1c | 4,520$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 64c | 2,986$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.39 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 1,265$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 67c | 1,181$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.67 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 876.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 772.27$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.41 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 631.48$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.74 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 584.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 480.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 16c | 384.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 17c | 375.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 64c | 351.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 32c | 292.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 25c | 276$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 260.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 16c | 255.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 33c | 233.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 211$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 19c | 206$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 16c | 192.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 25c | 190.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 13c | 188.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 13c | 188.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 166.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 29c | 148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 20c | 139.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 73c | 137.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 9c | 132.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 23c | 85.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 23c | 77.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 22c | 71.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9f62backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 33c | 51.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Yes | 30c | 41.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 25c | 39.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 37.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 75c | 37.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 38c | 26.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 79c | 13.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.