WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe234bbd91ec3fed7b9717d79b2bbffdfac2b02771b0046d65ead836147068766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 4,058$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 52c | 3,774$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.04 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 10c | 2,250$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.74 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 57c | 1,650$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.49 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 1,259$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.75 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 681$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 383.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…df7fbacked Over | 53c | 369.81$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 53c | 280.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 270.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 194.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16df…9653backed Over | 53c | 187.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…7e67backed Over | 53c | 186.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 29c | 166.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 32c | 147.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 31c | 137.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…d13ebacked Under | 53c | 109$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 32c | 104.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…cf5abacked Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…4fdbbacked Over | 53c | 93.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…1755backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…6a8bbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 48c | 89.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 76.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…c4cfbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c5…122cbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…46aebacked Over | 52c | 75.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…ac3dbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…2515backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 29c | 69.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 45.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 37.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 49c | 31.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 78c | 31.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 30.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…5966backed Over | 80c | 29.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Over | 57c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 47c | 21.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Over | 73c | 20.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.