Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ddecdd58b4e581eb22ba69ed924a404f74eeb0d75caf999a9278db7fb737bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Yes | 37c | 38,964$14,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,547.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked No | 63c | 15,539$9,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,789.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 10,838$6,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820.89 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,467$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.7 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 23c | 2,068$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.5 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 35c | 1,171$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.43 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 64c | 1,014$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.85 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 946.52$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.17 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 934.02$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.14 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 63c | 793$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 51c | 696.04$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.83 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 35c | 671$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.15 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 630.23$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.01 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 626.04$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.31 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 30c | 615.19$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.63 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 37c | 450$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 63c | 407$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 21c | 364.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…5448backed Yes | 32c | 317.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 58c | 242.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 63c | 202$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 41c | 182.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 178$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 178$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 172$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 67c | 140.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 30c | 128$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 65c | 115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 109.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 105$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 61c | 105$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 63c | 96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 82.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 63c | 68.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 65.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked No | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 25c | 64.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 61.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 70c | 59.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 67c | 58.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 75c | 54.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 35c | 49.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 63c | 45.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 68c | 41.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 38.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 59c | 37.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 36c | 34.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 64c | 32.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 63c | 28.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 63c | 27.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 64c | 25.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 63c | 23.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 21.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 65c | 18.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked No | 65c | 15.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will D.C. United SC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?No won
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.