TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes39c64,990$25,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,485.382070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No61c15,480$9,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,037.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No61c8,134$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.412654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c7,550$4,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.991,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Yes39c5,160$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c5,007$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.2499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No61c4,660$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.91,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes38c3,393$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.3435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c2,335$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.943,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7803141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c2,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7804334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No60c1,823$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.224348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No60c1,800$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7204245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No61c1,653$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.665154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No61c1,625$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.6921547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No61c1,568$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.529457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes38c1,298$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.2432848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c1,222$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.5768550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c1,222$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.5791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No62c1,216$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1820043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No61c1,167$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.136349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes38c1,092$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5733346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes5c1,064$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.041650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3903441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No61c921$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1955750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No63c902$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.163540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No60c875$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35013948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c794.23$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.6997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No62c619.96$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No60c547.63$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed No61c462.8$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.491844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf029…b1c7backed Yes40c440.38$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Yes40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15614359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No65c355.56$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.731,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c348.39$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No62c261.48$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c250.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes38c236.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.873026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7815060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No57c179$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9720133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No61c156$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.849058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes22c142.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3816437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes16c138$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.423040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No61c131.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1412146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.610243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes38c128.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No71c109.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2738246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393060%18 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3913461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3610450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c91.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No62c90.19$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.271,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No62c85.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6471443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No61c79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8118456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x724b…8cd9backed Yes40c64.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes31c63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Yes40c61.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8902…506ebacked Yes40c55.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes37c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.359742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed No62c51.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No64c44.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.986352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed No61c40.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.896558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Yes40c39.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No61c39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.215954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No61c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4810257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No61c30.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.614957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No62c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5520449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No75c29.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4619852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No61c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.927256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No61c27.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No61c26.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0111650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No62c25.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8416948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed No62c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.55988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No61c24.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.714470.5%31 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No61c23.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.152458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.814660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No60c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.642947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked No61c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.025326.4%14 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked No63c16.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.975464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No77c13.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.064868.8%33 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.