Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83bafcb99326abe3597123b076a2fc9b555467153435cb135e1ebb460a7bda30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 5,739$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.33 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed No | 77c | 3,426$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 3,139$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.51 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 2,954$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,250$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.47 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,655$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.85 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 1,358$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.61 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,285$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…9450backed Yes | 28c | 1,245$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,226$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.36 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 23c | 1,088$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.13 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 28c | 1,034$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.57 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 881.43$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.74 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 809.17$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 23c | 532.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 73c | 513$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…5448backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 415.85$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 341.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 311.27$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 309.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 303.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 4c | 277.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 202.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 74c | 193.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 26c | 164$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 141.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 138.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 138.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 23c | 131$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 28c | 123.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 118.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 77c | 107.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…fe5ebacked No | 76c | 98.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 90.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 76.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed No | 71c | 70.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 73c | 68.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 63.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 23c | 57.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 24c | 52.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 52.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…6e98backed No | 75c | 46.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked No | 76c | 39.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 69c | 36.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…9858backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 77c | 20.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 76c | 19.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 16.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 77c | 16.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 77c | 16.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 75c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 77c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 80c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.