Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e40be1f297f1a7a2d6bf28a7cdf900ebe39f53a1dd55a38a47cdc6b76e1895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 21c | 15,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 26c | 6,643$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.94 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 2,063$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.68 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 2,004$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.15 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 1,685$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.86 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 58c | 1,662$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.35 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 1,569$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.72 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.46 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 1,013$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,008$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.24 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 24c | 854.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 78c | 727.25$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 610.43$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Yes | 2c | 572$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 550.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 18c | 548.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 334.1$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 302.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 290$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 25c | 273.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 74c | 258$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 74c | 235.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 219.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 79c | 193$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 187.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 27c | 176.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Yes | 19c | 171.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 165$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 69c | 144.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 132.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 79c | 118.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 115.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 111$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 57c | 104.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 26c | 92.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 58c | 90.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 63c | 90.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 84.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 38c | 79.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 77.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 25c | 75.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 27c | 74.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 21c | 72.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 31c | 71.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 75c | 65.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Yes | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 51.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 25c | 50.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 24c | 42.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 37c | 31.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 39c | 26.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 48c | 21.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 74c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No | 74c | 17.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 74c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 77c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 74c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed No | 73c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
- Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.