Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf84bb986eb2e88aae6075685f8f9a02284f02c45f8b9f27b02c56eb577a66a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 2,212$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.64 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 1,968$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.89 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 1,800$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 1,739$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.19 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,543$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.45 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 1,532$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.9 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 959.54$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…f959backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 483.35$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 224.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 30c | 177.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 29c | 164$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 132$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 34c | 118.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…61b9backed Yes | 32c | 101.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 30c | 79.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 70c | 75.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 26c | 75.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed No | 73c | 75.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed No | 67c | 74.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…4b28backed No | 74c | 74.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 70.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 61.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 69c | 47.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 28c | 40.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 31.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…a105backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb199…5721backed No | 72c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 22.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…474cbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 72c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 69c | 20.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 71c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 70c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 71c | 15.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 71c | 14.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?No won
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.