TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes59c3,275$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.411145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c2,896$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.735,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c2,216$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.318,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c1,679$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.23,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes78c1,612$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.741,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c1,055$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.141,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No38c968.71$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.885046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c933.99$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.711,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes59c777.01$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5810155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes59c692.84$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.611,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c684.93$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.841,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes60c629.68$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.875345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed No24c516.67$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9113373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No5c317.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes59c299.45$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.772040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes61c297.78$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1417251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Yes44c288.42$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.693828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c285.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.361,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes60c275.46$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.141855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.497955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes62c249.44$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.41,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.63135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.431745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No42c234.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.385962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes62c224.13$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1719963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c220.39$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.881,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No6c215.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92437.5%9 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa261…911bbacked No39c209.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.882548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No16c188.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.966451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x741b…4a79backed Yes58c187.18$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked No15c186.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1c…0144backed Yes64c186.03$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.123557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes59c178.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.275143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed No16c170.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No15c159.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.929361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c149$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.342,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked No22c143.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.712740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes76c133$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1732936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No45c128.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes73c115.13$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes73c115.07$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes75c105$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.066369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No40c92.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9321657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes45c88.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8816349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes40c79.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7218145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No43c78.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.85549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes48c72.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5818338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No42c63.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5320059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No30c58.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes58c54.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9420055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed Yes80c49.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.882548%12 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3229…4299backed Yes59c48.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.041850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes61c48.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.046850%34 W · 34 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No27c44.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.283737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbfb…e01fbacked No37c36.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c35.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.421,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36de…ea85backed No36c33.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes58c33.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9931355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6baa…b85fbacked No37c32.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…0a38backed Yes61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2119…9303backed Yes61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.495558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes56c31.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.116255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes64c31.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.412,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6836…e9c9backed Yes40c31.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No54c31.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8111863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Yes63c30.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.313050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.38261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes49c27.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.295728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Yes64c27.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.911250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No42c26.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1826160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes71c26.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7357157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes71c26.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7341256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes71c26.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6633560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes71c26.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.667857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes71c26.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes71c26.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6615654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes71c26.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6612361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes58c25.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.591136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94c6…40babacked Yes59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.173100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.176943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee9…5b88backed No41c24.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c3…ff9bbacked Yes61c24.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes61c24.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.376838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…c36ebacked Yes64c22.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.26757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd6a…437dbacked Yes61c22.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f6…eb0abacked Yes61c21.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes80c20.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1918154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a43…5ed7backed Yes59c20.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef50…be13backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes63c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.399363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…e568backed Yes65c19.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.852259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Yes52c19.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.511,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb538…413ebacked Yes80c18.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.