South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd3f7c604a17c2b549755ff7ae76a479246448f3f9ea200a04aa0d4b6dfec90a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 30c | 6,424$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 2,993$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.4 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 2,671$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.86 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 69c | 2,256$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.41 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,208$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,393$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.52 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,327$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.1 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…1821backed Yes | 11c | 836.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 646.26$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 322.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 52c | 261.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 249.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 241.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 216.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Yes | 17c | 214.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 180.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 137.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 129.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 127.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 54c | 123.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 16c | 116.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd012…87b0backed Yes | 45c | 99.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…6473backed Yes | 43c | 95.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 27c | 86.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 22c | 85.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…9757backed Yes | 17c | 83.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 69.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…c197backed Yes | 48c | 56.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 54.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 79c | 45.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 27c | 38.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 38c | 38.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 79c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 52c | 25.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 74c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 77c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 75c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed No | 77c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…5b88backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.