South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b33ab494c9d9c40670da59c2e5d038c85b51637f495d0c29b2183d71ec1e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 3,197$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.42 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 3,124$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.12 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,682$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.38 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,574$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 50c | 1,251$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.65 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 59c | 978.77$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.3 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 58c | 741.47$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 23c | 617.24$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 612.78$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 14c | 585.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 48c | 576.84$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.05 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 525.52$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 485.82$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.19 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 54c | 452.26$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 450.08$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.73 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 59c | 431.13$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 41c | 430.21$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 6c | 383.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 304$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 58c | 183.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 59c | 168.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked No | 60c | 148.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 41c | 142.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 42c | 117.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 23c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 57c | 99.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 41c | 91.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 58c | 69.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 58c | 68.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 61.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 56c | 56.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 34c | 53.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 60c | 53.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 40c | 51.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 58c | 46.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 43c | 44.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…445cbacked Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 40.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 52c | 37.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 55c | 35.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 76c | 35.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 47c | 34.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…9293backed No | 50c | 31.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 30.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 55c | 29.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 55c | 28.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 28.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 50c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 58c | 24.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 52c | 20.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.