South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e2b216b32ac3eabc35813d50d8d0e18ebb56cb7f3ba5c524087bd562413f0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 53c | 733.09$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.37 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 414.12$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 361.18$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 322.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 285.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 244.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 203.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 53c | 174.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 121.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 42c | 119$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 52c | 115.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 98.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 49c | 90.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Yes | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 55.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a40…b226backed Yes | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…988dbacked No | 58c | 44.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed No | 53c | 44.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 48c | 41.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Yes | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.