Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c44d53c98942c8499d9c3e481e6f7c35c07916eb7cfb67c570b75f745b41aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,831$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 910.76$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.27 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 71c | 787$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Yes | 44c | 608.61$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Yes | 14c | 361.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 31c | 308.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 69c | 289.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…93ddbacked Yes | 70c | 241.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 69c | 240$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 12c | 216.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 13c | 212.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 67c | 198.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 139.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 32c | 135.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 13c | 127.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…d2dfbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 69c | 119.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 67c | 94.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 34c | 72.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…52d5backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 31c | 68.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 69c | 62.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 56c | 62.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 33c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…d843backed Yes | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 30c | 34.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 79c | 32.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 67c | 31.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 27.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed No | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed No | 61c | 23.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked No | 65c | 17.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…c54bbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.