Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd8ea2a1644e26c732d7a53d8159c78ecf14bdb1acb7729549f04f049bfed7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 64c | 21,656$13,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,731.8 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 68c | 12,267$8,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.96 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 7,510$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.99 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 6,837$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 38c | 3,457$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 2,949$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.49 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,682$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.24 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,625$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 985.06$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.22 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 11c | 917.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 782.53$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 35c | 723.51$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 643.61$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 643.22$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 36c | 625.23$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 65c | 566.28$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 526.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 3c | 498.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 12c | 419.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 415.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 36c | 309.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 265$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Yes | 30c | 185.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 9c | 179.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 22c | 152.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 10c | 125.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 38c | 117.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 41c | 100.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 34c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 34c | 95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 32c | 91.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 35c | 83.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…931cbacked Yes | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 66.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…d6debacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 36c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…7040backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 38c | 41.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…37dfbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…6d57backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 63c | 38.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 36.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…69e5backed Yes | 34c | 30.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9979…c5bdbacked No | 62c | 30.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…5fe1backed Yes | 36c | 30.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 25.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 74c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-14?this page
- Will Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.