South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cde593f3000fb935f221fac0f6cc89a55977ceeeb998393d99205761af56ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 11,253$8,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 6,976$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.61 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 11c | 2,339$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.25 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 26c | 1,921$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Yes | 13c | 896.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 876.14$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 551.91$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 61c | 540.39$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Yes | 26c | 422.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 40c | 421.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…189abacked Yes | 26c | 373.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 277.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 73c | 272.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 38c | 222$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…40afbacked Yes | 23c | 218.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 40c | 205$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 73c | 183.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 167.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 27c | 162.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes | 24c | 158.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 141.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…c30ebacked Yes | 41c | 141.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 133.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 41c | 121.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 19c | 108.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 88.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 30c | 81.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 22c | 72.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 27c | 60.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 41c | 59.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 70c | 57.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 38c | 55.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 54.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 50.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…705abacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 27c | 39.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…3916backed Yes | 39c | 30.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 39c | 28.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 77c | 23.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 64c | 20.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed No | 80c | 18.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 79c | 13.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.