South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d499a0a3ceeb4354baedcb2bf434b2971196ef53e815e37b0c90007ca468419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 3,863$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.53 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 3,153$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 597.43$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 60c | 500.11$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.18 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 67c | 340.51$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 61c | 264.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 133.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 67c | 124$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 32c | 116.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 114.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 46c | 108.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 76.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 34c | 74.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 63.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 53.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Yes | 64c | 48.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 48.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 34c | 44.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 51c | 37.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 50c | 36.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 33c | 36.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 29.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…0012backed Yes | 69c | 17.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Yes | 70c | 15.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.