Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5356e3ea3e90dfcaa2b4b3b353a6a552ff82749f064f4b05255327f5641ebacb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,493$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 1,476$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 13c | 1,130$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 54c | 735.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 7c | 714.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 542.06$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 74c | 473$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 6c | 414.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 27c | 294.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 284.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 37c | 208.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 16c | 180.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 135.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 11c | 117.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 65c | 104$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 70c | 103.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 46c | 71.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 37.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 33.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 75c | 32.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Start win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Viking FK vs. IK Start end in a draw?No won
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.