Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4842b2ca598e577f7919321c57ebf88ab4a8b524771faaa083050049ca6d601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed No | 37c | 24,866$9,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,780.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,225 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 38c | 8,359$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.6 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 4,025$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.07 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 69c | 1,660$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.48 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 63c | 1,528$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.75 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 34c | 1,176$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.32 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 62c | 1,097$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.06 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 61c | 1,022$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 63c | 951.51$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.45 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 62c | 923.1$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.54 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 63c | 865.76$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.43 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 801.04$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.14 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 76c | 584$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.84 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 507$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.78 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 64c | 416.66$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 64c | 399.25$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.02 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 64c | 358$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 353.79$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 63c | 344.29$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 334.58$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 64c | 282.89$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.05 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 64c | 275$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 63c | 263.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 62c | 161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 30c | 156.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 63c | 128.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 64c | 107$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 73c | 92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 19c | 88.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 60c | 80.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d0…2c89backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 77c | 78.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 65c | 76.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 74c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 63c | 72.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Yes | 64c | 70.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked No | 39c | 65.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 53.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 21c | 53.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 79c | 52.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 72c | 51.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 64c | 49.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 39c | 48.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 26c | 48.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Yes | 64c | 43.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 63c | 31.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…6d41backed Yes | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Yes | 64c | 26.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yes | 78c | 20.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 63c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 63c | 17.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.