TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes62c6,351$3,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.987552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes59c4,961$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.11030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No33c4,339$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.61,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c4,210$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.395,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c2,892$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.148,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes56c2,728$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.711533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes80c2,505$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.018153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.69752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes59c914.21$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No42c888.83$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.021,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes55c737.71$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c715.19$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.131,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes54c617.39$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.011,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c583.39$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.92,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No41c490$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.99831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No41c482.3$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.748554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c440.21$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.041,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes59c409.95$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.995345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No7c383.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2921132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86dc…98fabacked Yes76c357.14$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes62c351.43$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.271,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes52c343.86$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0513373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c325.43$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.363,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No11c268.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No46c247.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.965962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c193.91$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.962,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c182.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.821,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed No45c171.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.061861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes58c171.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.971855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No42c165.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5421345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Yes63c154.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked No44c152.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.62152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked No20c149.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes59c147.82$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6133745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed No45c145.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.271758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c144$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.442,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No41c135.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5631226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes61c127.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.313739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed No42c126.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b0a…bd3bbacked Yes80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes52c115.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5726965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes71c111.59$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.916266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.321349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No22c109.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.835549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No24c107.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes63c97.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1821251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes69c96.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.682934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No43c93.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5923551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c93.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.161,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes79c91.4$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.436451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked No21c68.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes74c68.32$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7810456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Yes58c67.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.244959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No40c62.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.177156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes72c59.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.797660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes59c57.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.722138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No32c53.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5c…81b9backed No22c53.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No22c51.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4430231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c50.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.091,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes63c49.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.131,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Yes70c43.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.042369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes72c41.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4229362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4de2…60acbacked No40c41.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-80.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes55c40.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.951,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Yes74c37.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.748964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes62c33.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.476369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.567048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed No42c32.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.571145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No40c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.788439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Yes71c28.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.154374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd440…2ceabacked Yes55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes70c27.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.255172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Yes61c27.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.611573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked Yes76c26.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.471681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Yes56c26.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.473154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes80c25.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0810767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.175444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68f…3d74backed Yes80c24.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e7d…1f1abacked No45c23.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb074…a232backed Yes58c23.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.77944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c3…a7fdbacked Yes70c22.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.712373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Yes71c21.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.223070%21 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes55c20.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.063647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Yes68c20.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.511485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+43.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4cca…7cb3backed Yes56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.361050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.