Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f4881aafa5ba58f4a575ef5b297ca197107c761d7751b84cd08cfca912c9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Munchenof Olimpia Milano, FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Olimpia Milano | 68c | 5,174$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 3,363$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.57 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Olimpia Milano | 69c | 2,297$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.21 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed FC Bayern Munchen | 41c | 1,986$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.37 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Olimpia Milano | 11c | 1,754$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Olimpia Milano | 41c | 1,723$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.19 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 1,688$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.86 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed FC Bayern Munchen | 31c | 1,578$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.64 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Olimpia Milano | 11c | 1,063$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Olimpia Milano | 26c | 996.85$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.67 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 31c | 706.84$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 683.46$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Olimpia Milano | 11c | 516.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed FC Bayern Munchen | 29c | 499.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 12c | 442.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Olimpia Milano | 33c | 385.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olimpia Milano | 23c | 365.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…c784backed FC Bayern Munchen | 26c | 250.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Olimpia Milano | 31c | 233.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 182.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 180.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 174.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Olimpia Milano | 45c | 159.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Olimpia Milano | 9c | 155.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 152.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 26c | 147.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 31c | 145.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 143.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…b00cbacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 127.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olimpia Milano | 31c | 125.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 122.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Olimpia Milano | 32c | 118.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Olimpia Milano | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 102.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…eceebacked Olimpia Milano | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 99.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 98.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Olimpia Milano | 12c | 98.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf582…4082backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 93.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Olimpia Milano | 50c | 88.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Olimpia Milano | 14c | 83.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 79.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 74.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Olimpia Milano | 40c | 62.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 56.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 54.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Olimpia Milano | 62c | 52.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Olimpia Milano | 24c | 47.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…f28fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 31c | 43.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 40.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…dd49backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 35.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FC Bayern Munchen | 38c | 32.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 25.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…a7c2backed FC Bayern Munchen | 44c | 24.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 18.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 16.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.