Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9d8b4d3b9278943fc31d403b345fc20a8fe3b115e74674572d63fd85aee9ac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 1,012$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.04 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 39c | 777.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 40c | 505.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 426.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 73c | 395.96$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 380.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 63c | 375.92$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 37c | 358.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 283.56$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.31 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 66c | 262$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 23c | 235.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 32c | 232$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 56c | 226.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 54c | 221.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 215.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 61c | 179.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 35c | 146$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 140.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 53c | 131.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 121.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 37c | 118.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 68c | 116$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Under | 67c | 107.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 67c | 103.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 41c | 76.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 41c | 76.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 41c | 76.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 41c | 76.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Under | 55c | 67.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 56.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed Under | 70c | 52.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 70c | 48.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a580backed Over | 33c | 41.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 42c | 40.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 66c | 32.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 65c | 30.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 30.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…79dcbacked Over | 39c | 29.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 53c | 26.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d9…c41ebacked Under | 72c | 26.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 26.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6e…4b69backed Under | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 54c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…c173backed Under | 66c | 21.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 61c | 17.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.