Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa0c56810f8ca6d37d3ee0a9f8f410df58756d8e0d114ce7d1636ba78869ed63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 1,681$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 10c | 661.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 18c | 485$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 19c | 299.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 18c | 264.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 262.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 235.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 79.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 37c | 57.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…7f47backed Over | 23c | 56.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 23c | 55.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 32c | 52.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Over | 38c | 39.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Over | 30c | 39.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 69c | 37.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 35.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…4002backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…e809backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.