South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f14b9a686c4500eba93a6038fe8db8498f79589dc2224837c43150738d0fcb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 1,979$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.72 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 1,678$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.24 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 1,411$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 72c | 1,270$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.59 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,019$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 69c | 951.52$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.97 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 733.4$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 697.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…4164backed Yes | 28c | 531.02$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 436.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 435.51$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 354.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…a363backed Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Yes | 31c | 279.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…ffc9backed Yes | 31c | 267.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 236.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 199.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 72c | 188.89$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 27c | 183.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 27c | 130.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 73c | 125.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…4299backed Yes | 27c | 120.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 107$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed No | 71c | 88.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 84.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c3…8062backed Yes | 31c | 69.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 69.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 17c | 68.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 71c | 58.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 72c | 56.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 31c | 54.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed Yes | 31c | 53.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 74c | 51.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…9e46backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 48.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed No | 76c | 41.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…8c31backed Yes | 31c | 35.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 35.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 73c | 34.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 71c | 34.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked No | 72c | 29.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…d488backed No | 71c | 24.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 69c | 22.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed No | 78c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…745fbacked No | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will CA Platense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.