NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x211702c05ff4133c1fcf10ddcd00accdbe450cbfc9ba0ea52ad9f0143713d5a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 1,745$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.01 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 58c | 1,462$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 42c | 508.38$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 473$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 13c | 346$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 42c | 301.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 25c | 280.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 270.8$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 71c | 260$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 72c | 51.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 59c | 44.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 37.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 70c | 33.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…644cbacked Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…275dbacked Over | 58c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3666…4210backed Over | 58c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…bb75backed Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…f6a9backed Over | 58c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…243ebacked Over | 59c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. BlackhawksHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.