NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc90777f78703f559c8c69925087734c1ed88236b6013415b09251568d0adf54c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes | 45c | 8,013$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.21 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Blackhawks | 55c | 3,143$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.53 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Blackhawks | 55c | 3,036$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.92 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Blackhawks | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 45c | 1,750$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.5 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Hurricanes | 41c | 1,022$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.95 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 54c | 847.96$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.9 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Blackhawks | 58c | 840.54$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed Blackhawks | 59c | 565.73$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 54c | 406.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 42c | 350.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.16 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…fdf1backed Blackhawks | 55c | 296.77$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ae…cdd6backed Hurricanes | 46c | 290.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dd22backed Blackhawks | 55c | 272.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…7e5ebacked Hurricanes | 46c | 266.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Blackhawks | 55c | 213.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 199.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 175.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Blackhawks | 55c | 152.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hurricanes | 46c | 151.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Hurricanes | 46c | 137.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 41c | 127.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Blackhawks | 54c | 109.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Hurricanes | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed Blackhawks | 55c | 67.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Hurricanes | 43c | 67.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blackhawks | 44c | 62.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Hurricanes | 50c | 58.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Hurricanes | 46c | 57.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Blackhawks | 57c | 57.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Blackhawks | 55c | 53.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Hurricanes | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…0020backed Hurricanes | 42c | 42.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Hurricanes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blackhawks | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Hurricanes | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…fb72backed Hurricanes | 42c | 36.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Blackhawks | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Blackhawks | 54c | 35.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Blackhawks | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Hurricanes | 77c | 33.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Hurricanes | 44c | 32.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Blackhawks | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Hurricanes | 43c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…400dbacked Blackhawks | 55c | 20.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Hurricanes | 55c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. BlackhawksHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.